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As Biden skips Southeast Asia summits, is the US losing influence in the region?

Biden’s absence does not necessarily indicate weaker US interest in Southeast Asia but rather a shift in engagement strategy, analysts say

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US President Joe Biden poses with other leaders during the 2022 Asean summit in Phnom Penh. Photo: Reuters
US President Joe Biden’s absence from key Southeast Asian summits this week has raised concerns over Washington’s commitment to the region, though some analysts say it is a shift in strategy towards bilateral and multilateral partnerships rather than reduced engagement.
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Biden will be notably absent from the US-Asean summit and the East Asia summit in Laos that both begin on Friday, in his second consecutive year of absence. Vice-President Kamala Harris attended the summits last year, and Secretary of State Antony Blinken will attend this year.

Biden’s absence has been attributed to pressing domestic concerns, including the demands of the presidential election and recovery efforts from recent hurricanes.

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken (2nd from left) attend the 19th East Asia Summit as part of the 44th and 45th ASEAN Summits and Related Summits in Vientiane, Laos. Photo: EPA-EFE
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken (2nd from left) attend the 19th East Asia Summit as part of the 44th and 45th ASEAN Summits and Related Summits in Vientiane, Laos. Photo: EPA-EFE

But his no-show may reflect a “broader, more concerning trend in US foreign policy – one that signals a deprioritisation of Southeast Asia and Asean”, Joanne Lin, senior fellow of the Asean Studies Centre at the Singapore-based think tank ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, wrote on Wednesday.

Lin noted that Biden will travel to Germany and Angola during the same period to “strengthen relations with allies and friends” and stressed that the perceived diplomatic snub “raises serious questions about Washington’s long-term commitment to Asean and the broader Indo-Pacific”.

Some analysts say Biden’s absence does not necessarily indicate a diminished US interest in Southeast Asia but rather a shift in engagement strategy.

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“On a symbolic level, the US president’s absence may not look good, but in terms of US strategy in Asia, forums like the East Asia summit are of limited relevance,” said Matteo Piasentini, a geopolitical analyst at Italian think tank Geopolitica.

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