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Indonesia’s falling marriage rate sparks concern about low fertility and ‘undesirable consequences’ on economy

  • Young people are putting off marriage due to ‘structural challenges’, as demographers say fertility rates are likely to continue declining
  • Indonesia’s case is ‘unique’, analysts say, given its differing development levels and varying attitudes towards marriage among socio-economic classes

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A groom puts a face mask on his bride before their wedding ceremony in Jakarta. Indonesia recorded only 1.79 million marriages in 2020. Photo: AFP
Siswanto Cokro, a grandfather of three, was surprised to hear about the declining number of registered marriages in Indonesia over the last few years, a trend which has put the government on alert for fear of “undesirable consequences” on the economy.
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“I keep getting all these wedding invitations,” the 60-year-old Surabaya resident said. Shaking his head adamantly, he added, “People will always wed and have children.”

Melissa Suryanti, 23, had a different response. “Of course, that’s to be expected these days. It’s expensive to start a family, so people either save up or try to sort out their careers first,” said the native of Malang, East Java.

Indonesia’s marked decline in marriage rates reflects stark shifts in socio-economic conditions, societal norms and demographic trends, analysts say, all of which have sparked concern among officials about the impact on the country’s fertility rate and economic future.

In its annual data release, published late last month, Indonesia’s Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) highlighted an overall drop in the number of people getting married over the last six years, with the sharpest downturn occurring in 2020 during the Covid-19 pandemic.

In 2018, the BPS recorded 2,016,171 marriages in Indonesia but in 2020 the number nosedived to 1,792,548. Last year, it only registered 1,577,255.

Ariane Utomo, a demographic researcher and lecturer at the University of Melbourne. Photo: Handout
Ariane Utomo, a demographic researcher and lecturer at the University of Melbourne. Photo: Handout

Ariane Utomo, a demographic researcher and lecturer at the University of Melbourne, said the trend was no secret within her field of study.

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