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Opinion | Travel bubble: what Singapore and Hong Kong’s contrasting reactions to its suspension tell us about our societies

  • Singaporeans responded to the news with a mix of barely concealed glee and a smug ‘I told you so’ – symptoms of the city state’s risk-averse nature
  • Fatalistic Hongkongers, meanwhile, seemed to accept the surge in infections linked to dance halls patronised by the rich as inevitable, writes Donald Low

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A man looks on as a Singapore Airlines plane approaches for landing at Changi International Airport earlier this year. Photo: AFP
Last Sunday was supposed to mark the start of a quarantine-free air travel bubble between Singapore and Hong Kong, until a rising number of Covid-19 infections in the latter – linked mainly to a still-growing cluster arising from sleazy dance clubs – saw the scheme put on hold for at least two weeks.
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That such a cluster would emerge in these places is not entirely surprising: videos that have circulated online show their patrons’ quite blatant disregard for personal hygiene and social distancing measures.

What was more surprising, to me at least, was the contrasting responses of Singaporeans and Hongkongers to the errors made by their respective governments that led us to this point.

In Singapore, many people responded to the suspension of the travel bubble with a mix of barely concealed glee and a smug “I told you so”, blaming transport minister Ong Ye Kung for lacking the foresight to anticipate what should have been obvious: that quarantine-free travel between the city state and Hong Kong was a bad idea that should not have been contemplated in the first place.

In reality, it was quite brave of the transport minister to pursue the idea. If he had not negotiated a travel bubble, and we subsequently found out that the rise in cases over the following months was minimal and manageable, he would not be blamed for lacking the vision and appetite for risk to take advantage of the opportunity. That would have been an error of omission – of not doing something which, in hindsight, should have been done. Such errors are seldom criticised; in fact, they may not even be noticed.

Singapore’s Transport Minister Ong Ye Kung has come in for criticism following the travel bubble’s suspension. Photo: EPA
Singapore’s Transport Minister Ong Ye Kung has come in for criticism following the travel bubble’s suspension. Photo: EPA
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By contrast, pushing for the travel bubble was an error of commission that has now exposed the minister to accusations of recklessness following the subsequent spike in cases in Hong Kong. These errors, of something that should not have been done in hindsight, are almost always criticised far more severely.

Our preference for errors of omission over those of commission leads to a status quo bias: we would rather do nothing or carry on with our current or previous decision than risk something new. This is largely caused by our fear of regret.

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