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What will the global economy look like in 2023?
The global economy is entering 2023 on the brink of recession after a year of war, inflation and pandemic uncertainty. Will China's exit from zero-Covid spur a recovery? In this series, South China Morning Post commentators look at the key trends shaping the global economic outlook in 2023.
Updated: 05 Jan, 2023
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[1]
Macroscope | 2023 could be a year to remember as investors’ appetite for risk returns
With so much bad news already factored in during 2022, there is the chance markets could be surprised on the upside by unexpectedly better news in 2023. The stock market’s reputation as the top predictor of the economic cycle means investors should anticipate better news rather than looking over their shoulders.
26 Dec, 2022
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[2]
Macroscope | Expect a bumpy 2023 as central banks face high inflation and low growth
Risk of policy error is rising as policymakers work to cool inflation without putting out demand, especially as growth slows in the US and Europe. Inflation in Asia is less of a challenge but Japan’s situation is precarious and policymakers must be vigilant.
30 Dec, 2022
[3]
Opinion | China’s economic recovery plan? Expect a big push for domestic demand
Disruptions from China’s zero-Covid exit, a looming global recession and US tensions pose risks, but domestic demand remains key to China’s recovery.
31 Dec, 2022
[4]
Opinion | What trends will shape the global economy in 2023?
Optimism is starting to shine through as China pivots away from “zero Covid”, inflation eases and interest rate increases abate. Worrying trends such as ageing populations and high healthcare and energy costs remain, but there is reason to believe this optimism is more than wishful thinking.
31 Dec, 2022
[5]
Macroscope | Liquidity crisis could be global financial system’s ‘silent killer’ in 2023
Few people seem aware as a liquidity crisis offers few clearly visible symptoms until it begins to affect the internal organs of the financial system. It could be that the potential risks involved will not crystallise on a scale that threatens the financial system, but past crises offer little reassurance.
31 Dec, 2022
[6]
The View | Five market indicators investors should watch in 2023
This year may prove less disastrous for bond and equity markets than 2022, but the need to bring down inflation by raising interest rates has not gone away. While the outlook is confusing, there are some useful gauges to keep within sight, including interest rates, employment levels and property prices.
05 Jan, 2023
