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Opinion | Island of hope: for crowded, cramped Hong Kong, a huge new island will be a game changer

Ryan Ip and Latifah Sat say land shortage in Hong Kong is so critical that piecemeal solutions will simply not satisfy people’s need for more affordable and spacious housing. After weighing the pros and cons, reclamation is the city’s best option

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Illustration: Craig Stephens
Hong Kong has been plunged into the depths of a land and housing calamity. Citizens are living in increasingly expensive and cramped conditions. This year, Hong Kong was crowned the city with the least affordable home prices in the world for the eighth consecutive year in an international survey. An average household needs to save 19.4 years’ worth of income without other expenses to buy a flat. Even for low-income households, the average waiting time for public housing has risen to five years and three months, an 18-year peak.
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Despite the exorbitant prices, living conditions do not reflect good value for money. Average living space in Hong Kong is only 170 square feet per person, equivalent to less than 1½ parking spaces. This is 25 per cent less than what Tokyo offers, and 60 per cent less than Singapore’s average.
At the same time, population density, a typical indicator of the quality of living, has climbed to 27,400 people per square kilometre of developed land, nearly triple that of Singapore and London, and even exceeding Mumbai’s, despite Hong Kong’s per capita gross domestic product being more than eight times that of Mumbai.

The severe land crunch is not limited to housing. Land supply for commercial, industrial and recreational uses are all sharply undersupplied, damaging the business environment, suppressing industry and annihilating creativity.

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Clearly, Hong Kong is careering down a grim path. How did we get to where we are today?

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